Research Overview

I'm a Southern California soccer parent who went looking for the numbers behind the fees I was paying and couldn't find them, so I collected them. This project asks one question about the financial economics of elite youth soccer: does the investment families make in competitive and elite club programs produce proportionate returns through college scholarships or professional careers?

The research rests on a database of 5,600+ clubs, 916 MLS salaries, 490 draft picks, and a survey of SoCal families — original data collection (web scraping of club fees and league directories), plus analysis of peer-reviewed literature on youth sport economics, scholarship outcomes, and professional career trajectories.

Primary research question

"Do the financial returns from youth soccer investment — in the form of college scholarships or professional careers — justify the costs imposed by the competitive and elite club soccer market?"

Scope

The analysis focuses on competitive youth soccer (Tiers 2–4) in the United States. Recreational soccer (Tier 1) is excluded from ROI analysis because recreational fees are too low to constitute an investment thesis. Professional academies (Tier 5) are also treated separately because families bear no cost.

Geographic scope

This research uses Southern California as its primary lens, with national context where data permits. SoCal coverage is the deepest in the database: club-level fee data, the SoCal Soccer League and Coast Soccer League directories, LA City parks programs, and the LA City United case study. National leagues (MLS NEXT, ECNL, GA, NPL, and others) are covered at the league level — club counts, structures, and published fee ranges. Regional feeder leagues outside Southern California vary by market and are out of scope; cost and structure findings from SoCal should transfer directionally, not precisely, to other regions.

Competitive Tier Definitions

Every cost figure and analysis in this research is tied to a competitive tier. US youth soccer is organized as a pyramid of leagues — like the English football pyramid but without formal promotion and relegation. Tiers are named here by their actual league, not by abstract labels. The key structural point: the tier applies to the team, not the club. A single club commonly fields teams across two or three tiers simultaneously — operating recreational or travel teams to fund its elite program, while its top teams compete at the national level.

Example — LA Breakers FC (Los Angeles): One club, three leagues. Their SoCal teams (T2) span U8–U19 across multiple flights. Their ECNL Regional League teams (T3 entry) are the "second team" for older age groups. Their ECNL teams (T3) are the top/"A" team. Estimated club enrollment: ~1,200 players across all three levels — ~657 in SoCal, ~258 in ECNL, ~272 in ECNL-RL (ECNL-RL estimated from club website; SoCal based on 48 scraped teams, ECNL from 6 scraped boys teams plus estimated 6 girls teams).
Tier Category League(s) Example Clubs Description Club Fee/yr All-in/yr
T1 Grassroots & Recreational AYSO (Area 1P, Section 1), US Youth Soccer Rec, MLS GO Rec Program, LA City Parks PlayLA, LA County Parks Rec, YMCA Youth Soccer, Club In-House Programs AYSO Region 78, Region 76 Beverly Hills, Region 13 Pasadena, Region 20 Santa Monica, LAFC So Cal Youth Rec, LA Breakers Pre-Academy Non-selective; everyone who registers makes a team. No tryouts. Coaching ranges from volunteers (AYSO, rec leagues) to paid staff (MLS GO). U6–U19. ~$300–600 ~$468
T2 Flight 4 SoCal Soccer League (Flight 4 / Discovery), Coast Soccer Signature League LA City United Bridges recreational and competitive play. Matches within the team's community. Cal South State Cup optional. ~$2,000–3,500 ~$2,500–4,500
Flight 3 SoCal Soccer League (Flight 3), Coast Soccer Div 2–3 LA City United, One Ivy FC Matches within local city or county — travel is local, gas only, no lodging. Cal South State Cup optional. Presidents Cup eligible. ~$2,500–4,000 ~$3,500–5,500
Flight 2 SoCal Soccer League (Flight 2), Coast Soccer Div 1 / Championship LA City United, One Ivy FC, OC Surf (mid), Legends FC, Chula Vista FC Geographically scheduled matches across SoCal. Cal South State Cup required — overnight stays add cost. Presidents Cup eligible. ~$3,000–5,000 ~$4,500–7,500
Flight 1 SoCal Soccer League (Flight 1), EA2 (Elite Academy 2), Coast Soccer Premier, Pacific Conference (CRL), USL Youth One Ivy FC (top), Autobahn SC, LA Bulls, Los Angeles SC, Pateadores, West Coast FC, SoCal Reds FC Home & away matches across SoCal. Cal South State Cup qualifies for US Club National Cup Finals (Denver). CRL teams compete for Far West Regional Championship wildcards. Top Flight 1 teams qualify for SoCal NPL (T3). ~$3,500–6,000 ~$5,500–9,000+
T3 National Bridge SoCal NPL (National Premier Leagues) *, National 1 League (N1L) * LA Bulls, Top SoCal Flight 1 clubs National travel begins. SoCal NPL qualifies through Flight 1 evaluation; top finishers → NPL Finals. N1L (2026–27) merges NPL + USYS into 8 conferences; SoCal in West District. Merit-based pathway to ECNL-RL. ~$2,500–4,500 ~$4,000–7,000
T4 National Second Tiers & Regional Platforms MLS NEXT Academy Division, USYS Elite 64 National League, ECNL Regional League (ECNL-RL), Elite Academy League (EAL), National Academy League (NAL), NL Club Premier 1 SoCal Reds FC, LA Breakers FC, ALBION SC Los Angeles, ALBION SC Santa Monica, Los Angeles SC, Los Angeles Football Club, LAIFC, LA Surf LC, LA Surf Futures National showcase platforms with strong D1 recruiting visibility and direct springboard to T5. Cross-regional travel. ~$3,500–6,500 ~$6,000–11,000
T5 MLS NEXT
Pro Pipeline
MLS NEXT Homegrown Division (~30 MLS pro academies + ~122 elite independents) LA Galaxy, Los Angeles Football Club, Los Angeles Bulls Soccer Club, Los Angeles Sports Club, Los Angeles Surf, SoCal Reds FC, Strikers FC, Total Futbol Academy, San Diego FC Pro pipeline with heavy USYNT/pro scouting. Academies fully funded. HS restricted. Training compensation risk if signing overseas. $0–$5,000 ~$5,000–15,000
ECNL / Girls Academy / DPL
College Pipeline
ECNL Boys (154 clubs), ECNL Girls (128 clubs), Girls Academy (103 clubs), Development Player League / DPL (Girls) SoCal Reds FC, LA Breakers FC, San Diego Surf, Beach FC, LA Bulls Most scouted for US college recruitment. D1–D3 coaches at showcases. USYNT ID. DPL (girls) bridges toward GA and serves as pathway into Girls Academy. ~$2,500–4,500 ~$6,400–9,200
T5 ECNL / Girls Academy — College Track: College-prep focus. High school soccer generally permitted. Strong D1–D3 college coach attendance at national showcases. No professional pathway or training compensation exposure. This is the track built around the college scholarship as the end goal.
T5 MLS NEXT — Pro Pipeline: ~152 Homegrown Division clubs total — 30 MLS pro academies (fully funded, $0 club fee) plus ~122 top independent clubs ($1.5k–$5k+/yr). High school soccer restricted (waiver required). MLS academies absorb $50k+/player/yr in facilities and coaching. Key risk: players who later attract overseas interest trigger FIFA training compensation of $30k–$500k — which most European clubs refuse to pay. Only top 1–3 players per MLS academy per year sign a homegrown contract.
* SoCal NPL → N1L (2026–27): SoCal NPL is the current (2025–26) T3 competition for LA players — the highest division within the SoCal Soccer League, affiliated with US Club Soccer's National Premier Leagues. Teams qualify through evaluation from Flight 1; top playoff finishers advance to the NPL Finals in Colorado. Starting 2026–27, the NPL and USYS National League merge into the unified National 1 League (N1L) — organized into 8 geographic conferences with SoCal teams competing in the West District. Top N1L finishers point toward the ECNL-RL postseason (T4). ~10,000 teams nationally.

Game format and roster size by age group

US Soccer mandates small-sided game formats at younger ages. Roster sizes vary by format and tier; figures below represent typical competitive travel rosters used to estimate club enrollment from team counts.

Format Age Groups Field Size Typical Roster (T2) Typical Roster (T5 ECNL)
4v4 / 5v5U6–U7Small (~25×35 yd)6–10
7v7U8–U10Small-medium (~55×80 yd)10–12
9v9U11–U12Medium (~70×110 yd)13–1616–18
11v11U13–U19Full (~75×115 yd)16–1820–25
Note on roster and age data: Complete age-tier reference with birth years, game lengths, and field sizes is available in youth_soccer_age_tiers.csv.
Note on ECNL data: ECNL membership rosters are not publicly accessible for programmatic scraping. Club counts (128 girls, 151 boys) are sourced from Wikipedia and ussoccerparent.com. Fee estimates are sourced from individual club websites and survey responses. ECNL Regional League is not separately scraped; it is included in T4 cost estimates as the entry-level program at elite clubs (~$4,000–$5,500/yr).

Data Collection Methods

League Club Directories (scraped)

Custom Python scrapers (requests + BeautifulSoup, cloudscraper) collected club rosters from publicly accessible league websites:

DatasetMethodRecordsDate
National club directory (50 states)ussoccerparent.com scraper2,537 clubsJun 2026
Coast Soccer clubs (SoCal)coastsoccer.us scraper258 clubsJun 2026
MLS Next clubsmlsnext.com scraper152 clubsJun 2026
NPL leagues (15 of 15 complete)GotSport API scraper694 clubsJun 2026
The National LeagueHTML extraction182 clubsJun 2026
Girls AcademyWikipedia (verified)96 clubsJun 2026
USL League TwoWikipedia (verified)157 teamsJun 2026
USL W Leaguecloudscraper + Wikipedia92 clubsJun 2026
USL League OneWikipedia17 teamsJun 2026
USL ChampionshipWikipedia25 teamsJun 2026
USL YouthDirect site scrape96 clubsJun 2026
USL Super Leaguegainbridgesuperleague.com9 teamsJun 2026
Development Player League (DPL)playclubsoccer.org + dpleague.org105 clubsJun 2026
SoCal Soccer LeagueGotSport direct scrape (deduplicated)172 clubsJun 2026
EDP Soccermyclubscout.com/leagues/edp-soccer242 clubsJun 2026

Fee Data

Annual club fees were collected from:

Scholarship Data

NCAA scholarship data sourced from the 2024–2025 NCAA Division I, II, and III scholarship equivalency reports. Scholarship values estimated from IPEDS average tuition data for institutions with soccer programs.

Salary Data

MLS salary data from the MLS Players Association (MLSPA) Spring 2026 Salary Guide (n=916 players, 31 clubs). NWSL data from the 2024 collective bargaining agreement. USL salary estimates from industry reporting.

Survey

I distribute an anonymous survey to parents of youth soccer players to capture actual annual spending by line item (club fees, private coaching, travel, equipment, tournaments), time investment, and household income bracket. Club names are collected for verification but never published; respondents are identified by area and league only. Responses are used for directional validation only, not as primary statistics.

Academic References

R001
Bairner et al. (2016) — The ins and outs of US youth soccer
Soccer & Society · DOI: 10.1080/14660970.2016.1267620
Club soccer costs $1k–$10k/yr; camps add $500+/week; 1/3 of participants from families >$75k/yr; only 11% from <$25k/yr; financial returns rarely recoup investment.
R002
Bocarro et al. (2018) — Socioeconomic status of parents in youth club sport
Physical Therapy in Sport · DOI: 10.1016/j.ptsp.2018.05.014
n=949 Wisconsin parents; median annual club sport spend $1,500 (IQR $500–$3,000); school sports $200/yr; 60% of families earn >$100k; 70%+ bachelor's degree; only 8% earn <$50k.
R003
Svensson et al. (2019) — Club vs. school sports conflict in the United States
Quest · DOI: 10.1080/00336297.2019.1627561
Youth sports industry estimated at $17 billion; club vs. school system conflict; pay-to-play exclusion of lower-income families.
R005
Beron et al. (2019) — Birth date and career attainment in professional soccer
Science and Medicine in Football · DOI: 10.1080/24733938.2019.1696471
n=1,071 academy players; only 40 (4.7%) reached professional first team. Relative Age Effect (RAE): Q4 (Oct–Dec) players who persist have 3× better odds than Q1 players.
R006
Watanabe et al. (2010) — Career length in Major League Soccer
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports · DOI: 10.2202/1559-0410.1261
n=~1,100 MLS players 1996–2007; initial career expectancy 2.4 years; ~30% exit after 1 season; annual exit rate never below 12%; foreign-born 2.2× exit odds vs. US-born.
R008
Dure et al. (2018) — Globalization of US men's college soccer
Soccer & Society · DOI: 10.1080/14660970.2017.1419469
38,000 men's college soccer players; only ~1,800 pro roster spots across all US tiers. Of the 6,020 D1 men's roster spots, an estimated 30–35% go to international players and 25–30% to transfer portal entrants — leaving roughly 40% (~2,400 spots) available to US high-school-age recruits — who are scouted out of club soccer (ECNL, MLS NEXT), not school teams. How many international players are in the global pipeline competing for those spots is not knowable from available data.

Data Limitations

LimitationImpactMitigation
ECNL club roster not publicly scrapeable Cannot enumerate all 279 ECNL clubs Counts from Wikipedia; cost estimates from club websites
Fee data collected from websites (not invoices) Actual fees may differ; some fees hidden behind logins Multiple sources cross-referenced; ranges reported
Survey sample size (n=12, June 2026) Self-selected sample may skew toward higher spenders Survey data used for validation only, not primary statistics
Scholarship probability estimates No tier-specific scholarship rate data exists publicly Estimates derived from academic literature + NCAA total data
Career cost assumptions (years active per tier) Actual career lengths vary by family Low/mid/high ranges reported; Monte Carlo captures uncertainty
USL Academy data inaccessible (JS-rendered) Youth development affiliate teams not in club index USL professional clubs serve as proxies

Master Club Database

This research compiled a national database of youth soccer clubs, leagues, and programs as a byproduct of the fee collection process. The master index contains 5,600+ club records from 17 data sources covering all 50 states.

League / SourceTierRecords
National Directory (ussoccerparent.com)All tiers2,537
NPL leagues (15 of 15 complete)T2694
EDP Soccer (NJ/PA/MD/CT/NY)T2242
The National LeagueT2182
SoCal Soccer LeagueT2172
USL League TwoT2–T3157
MLS NEXT Homegrown DivisionT5152
MLS NEXT Academy DivisionT4229
Elite Academy League (EAL)T4122
National Academy League (NAL)T4110
USYS Elite 64 Regional LeagueT4113
Coast Soccer (SoCal)T2258
SoCal NPLT3108
ECNL BoysT5153
Girls AcademyT596
Development Player League (DPL)T5105
USL YouthT396
USL W LeagueT2–T392
USL ChampionshipPRO25
USL League OnePRO17
USL Super LeaguePRO9
TOTAL5,600+

The full database is available at data/clubs_raw.csv in the project repository. ECNL clubs (~279) are not included due to data access limitations.